Half-year economic growth better
than expected
China's economy grew 7.8% (GDP) to RMB 4'553.6
billion in the first half of 2002, thanks to strong growth
in exports and heavy investment. 2nd quarter growth was
recorded at 8%, ahead of forecasts and of 1st quarter
growth of 7.6%, which prompted economists to raise full-year
projections. Most now expect 7.5 to 8% growth.
China's foreign trade totaled USD 270.71 billion,
a rise of 12.3% over the same period last year. Exports
totaled USD 142.06 billion, up 14.1%, while imports totaled
USD 128.65 billion, up 10.4%. A weak currency is making
China's exports more competitive.
China's foreign direct investment in the first
six months of this year increased by 18.7% from the same
period last year to USD 24.58 billion. In the same period,
investment commitments or "contracted FDI" reached
USD 44 billion, rising a remarkable 31.5%.
Fixed asset investment, an indicator for Government
expenses, rose by 21.5% to RMB 1.44 trillion, with spending
on infrastructure projects up 23% and on real estate up
33%.
Tax revenue rose to RMB 841.3 billion, up 10.9%
from the corresponding period last year.
Industrial output value reached RMB 1'446 billion,
a year-on-year increase of 11.7%. Auto products, and electronics
and telecommunications products have become the major
driving forces for industrial production growth.
The balance of China's broad money supply (M2)
reached RMB 17 trillion at the end of June, up 14.7% from
the same time last year. The balance of narrow money supply
(M1) was RMB 6.3 trillion, up 12.8%; and the balance of
cash in circulation (M0) was RMB 1.5 trillion, up 8.3%.
Total renminbi deposits grew 16.5% to reach RMB
15.8 trillion. Total renminbi loans amounted to
RMB 12.1 trillion, up 12.2%. Total foreign currency deposits
reached USD 144.5 billion, up 3.8%, while total foreign
currency loans went up to USD 98.2 billion. Forex reserves
were up 34.2% year-on-year to USD 242.76 billion by the
end of June.
China's consumer price index (CPI) fell 0.8% during the
period of January to June. Retail sales of consumer
goods were RMB 1.945 trillion, up 8.6% over the same period
last year.
The average income of Chinese urban residents reached
RMB 3'942 in the first half of this year, up 17.5%. The
average cash income of rural residents grew 5.9% to RMB
1'123.
(various sources)
Taipei and Beijing clash over
links
Taipei accused Beijing of politicising attempts to build
financial links between the two rivals, saying a state-controlled
Chinese bank was demanding Taiwanese counterparts pay
allegiance to a "One China" policy before it
would allow fund transfers. (FT, 12 July)
China plans tougher rules on
financial fraud
Chinese courts are to dish out tougher sentences to those
conducting illegal financial activities to ensure better
market order and guarantee the nation's fiscal security.
Special attention will be paid to fraud involving loans,
fund-raising, commercial instruments, letters of credit,
credit cards, stock and insurance contracts. (China Daily,
15 July)
2002 auto sales to reach 1 million
Domestic sales of passenger cars made in China will exceed
1 million units this year, according to a forecast by
the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. Car
sales totaled 470'200 units during the first half of this
year, an increase of 36.2% from the same period of last
year. Although China cut its tariffs from 70 to 80% to
43.8 to 50.7% at the beginning of this year, China only
imported 23'500 passenger cars during the first five months
of this year, less than 6% of the total domestic market
volume. (China Daily, 15 July)
Public pledge on self-discipline
for China internet industry
Internet portals in China have signed a voluntary pledge
to purge the Web of content that China's communist government
deems subversive. Those who sign must refrain from "producing,
posting or disseminating pernicious information that may
jeopardize state security and disrupt social stability"
or spreads "superstition and obscenity." The
pledge conforms closely to government policies making
Internet service providers responsible for content posted
on Web sites they host. It is a strategy to give the Internet
enough room to blossom while keeping operators on notice
not to push the envelope politically. (AP, 15 July)
Stamp-tax revenue plunges 68%
Tax authorities collected RMB 5.7 billion in securities-trading
stamp taxes in the first half of this year, down 68.3%,
or RMB 12.3 billion from the same period last year. The
slump is attributed to the sluggish stock market and a
shrinking trading volume. Another reason is the reduction
in the stamp-tax rates imposed at the end of last year
from 0.4% to 0.2% for A-share trading and from 0.3% to
0.2% for B shares. (ChinaOnline, 15 July)
Pressure on to cut RMB rate
Pressure to cut bank interest rates is rising once again,
though China's central bank is more likely to increase
the money supply and loosen regulations on lending rather
than make a ninth consecutive interest rate cut since
1996. China's current loan interest rate is 5.31%. Together
with the minus 0.8% CPI and 30% range banks are allowed
to float upward, the actual loan interest is more around
7%. In comparison, the listed enterprises in China recorded
an average profit rate of only 6% last year. (Business
Weekly, 16 June)
Beijing to spend billions to
expand rail network
Spending USD 42 billion in the five years to 2005, the
government plans to add 4'400 miles of track to the country's
sprawling 43'000-mile rail network. The goal is to clear
major transport bottlenecks that threaten to choke economic
growth. One byproduct could be huge contracts for foreign
companies selling next-generation rail technologies. (FEER,
16 July)
Big spenders drive Shanghai
growth
The first half of the year saw Shanghai's economy race
ahead 10%, outpacing the 7.8% national growth, supported
by massive spending on property and solid consumer demand
for cars and other goods. First-half investments in fixed
assets, a measure of government spending, surged 31.7%.
But exports rose just 5.6% in the first half. Retail sales
rose 9.8%, helped by strong car sales. Shenzhen recorded
first-half economic growth of 13.5% Guangdong province
recorded economic growth of 10.7% in the first half, while
Beijing came in at 9.1%. (SCMP, 17 July)
New China Life plans share sale,
first by a Chinese Insurer
New China Life plans to sell shares to the public, giving
investors their first piece of an industry that grew 84%
in the first six months of this year. Foreign investors,
including Zurich Financial Services AG, own 25% of New
China Life. (Bloomberg, 17 July)
Beijing's motor sales up 19%
in first half year
A total of 133'000 cars were sold in Beijing in the first
six months of the year, up 19.2% on a year-on-year basis.
The sale of new cars soared 30% in the same period to
99'000. Nearly 90% of cars sold at the three markets were
bought by individuals. Drastic price cuts by manufacturers
of small cars and a government tax rebate early this year
has greatly encouraged people to buy. (People's Daily,
17 July)
China's textile industry reaps
more profit
China's textile industry reversed its downward trend in
the first half of this year, in both its exports and domestic
consumption. It is predicted that the total profits for
the first half year could reach RMB 12.5 billion, up 10%.
The improvement in efficiency of the textile industry
results from the opportunities brought by China's entry
into the WTO and the steady growth of domestic garment
market. In the first half of this year China's textile
exports reached 26.25 billion U.S. dollars, up 6.8% on
the same period last year, while the domestic retail volume
increased about 10% in constant terms. (People's Daily,
17 July)
China ranks world's 3rd in economic
competitiveness
China ranks 31st in world competitiveness in 2002, improving
by two positions from last year; and its economic competitiveness
has risen from last year's seventh place to 3rd, according
to the 2002 ranking of major countries' and regions' competitiveness
published by the International Institute for Management
Development (IMD). (ChinaOnline, 17 July)
Beijing plans to launch investment
fund for Olympics
In an effort to raise RMB 50 billion for projects related
to the 2008 Olympic Games, Beijing plans to launch an
Olympic Industrial Investment Fund next year. The fund
could be launched in Beijing and Hong Kong for domestic
and overseas investors respectively. The State Development
Planning Commission is drafting a new regulation which
would legitimate and regulate such funds, currently not
allowed in China. Beijing plans to spend USD 34 billion
in total on the Olympics. (chinabiz.org, 17 July)
More tourists enter and leave
mainland
In the first six months of 2002, 6.14 million foreigners
entered China, up 15.97% compared to the same period last
year. Most came from Japan, South Korea, Russia, the United
States, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Mongolia,
Thailand and Britain. In the same period, 7.35 million
Chinese crossed the border to temporarily leave the mainland,
up 33.78%. Hong Kong, Macao, Thailand, Japan and Russia
were the most popular travel destinations. For the first
time the number of outgoing Chinese tourists outflanked
the incoming foreign tourists. (chinabiz.org, 18 July)
China's foreign investment set
for record high in 2002
China expects foreign investment for 2002 to reach a record
high of over USD 50 billion. 15'155 foreign-funded businesses
were approved to operate in China in the first half of
this year, up 26.39% compared with the same period last
year. Multinational corporations are adjusting their investment
structures in China by shifting their R&D centers
and regional headquarters to China. China's cheap labor
is no longer the only consideration of global investors.
(People's Daily, 18 July)
Bad loan ratios decline as quality
improves
Banks have posted a sharp decline in non-performing loans
in the first half as China's lending quality improved
and operating efficiency was enhanced. During the first
half, the big four banks' bad loans fell RMB 10.5 billion
or a decline of 1.9 percentage points from the beginning
of this year. (SCMP, 19 July) I recommend to read this
with a grain of salt.
Beijing to have China's first
medicine logistics center
China's first modern pharmaceutical logistics distribution
center is to be built in Beijing using investment totaling
RMB 30 million. Siemens Dematic, the world's leading automatic
logistics system supplier, signed a contract to develop
the project jointly with Beijing Pharmaceutical Co Ltd,
the biggest pharmaceutical company in the capital. (China
Daily, 19 July)
GM's sales in China soared in
first half
General Motors said its sales in China nearly tripled
in the first half, underlining the sudden revival of this
country's once languid auto market and suggesting the
company's massive China bet may yet pay off. The U.S.
auto giant sold a record 47'818 autos, the vast majority
of which were produced at GM's USD 1.5 billion Shanghai
plant. (WSJ, 19 July)
China to set up Wuhu export
processing zone
Anhui Province is to launch its first export processing
zone in the port city of Wuhu. Such zones in China are
exempt from tariffs and goods produced in the zones are
also exempt from value-added tax. (People's Daily, 19
July)
Shanghai City targets 6 key
industries
The Shanghai Economic Commission released a atalogue of
different industrial categories that are encouraged, prohibited
or restricted. The package is designed to serve as a guideline
for the future development of manufacturing. Shanghai
will focus on the development of six pillar industries
- electronics and information technology, cars, power
and large-scale electromechanical equipment, petrochemicals,
high-grade steel and biopharmaceutical products. Prohibited
and restricted sectors include paper pulp making, chemical
fertilizer production, and electronic or light industrial
goods with low added value. The expansion of these sectors
is banned within the Inner and Outer Ring areas. (People's
Daily, 20 July)