Economy
China's Dalian port clogged
by record unsold auto imports
China's port of Dalian has become clogged with more than
5'500 imported autos, due to a shortage of import licenses
and a high exchange rate. Expectations of imported cars
making inroads into the local market due to significant
reductions on import tariffs don't appear to have materialized.
Instead, a discount war and introduction of economy models
by local automakers has helped to fend off the threat
from imported vehicles. China will usher in more foreign
cars next year by lowering import tariffs and raising
quotas in line with its WTO commitments. (Dow Jones, 22
Nov)
East Asia trade bloc to emerge
On the heels of the announced free trade zone with ASEAN
member economies, Xu Changwen, from the China Academy
of International Trade and Economic Co-operation says
"it is inevitable China will take another step towards
closer economic relations with Japan and South Korea".
Premier Zhu Rongji proposed earlier this month a free
trade zone with Japan and South Korea when he met his
counterparts on the sidelines of ASEAN's meeting in Cambodia.
(Business Weekly, 26 Nov)
TV exports to EU resume
The first batch of Chinese TV sets left for the European
market after the lifting of a ban on their exports by
the European Union. In August, the EU dropped a ban imposed
two years earlier following charges of dumping. However,
some industry officials said the opening of the EU market
does not signal the end of business disputes and trade
restrictions. From this year European rivals shifted their
attention to royalty and other issues. (Shanghai Daily,
27 Nov)
Australian study: China's growth
to take 'middle road'
China's economy is likely to grow about 7% a year for
the rest of this decade, a new study by the Australian
government says. But the study warns that continued high
growth is "not inevitable", citing potential
social, economic and political problems, and the mountain
of bad debt held by China's big banks and asset-management
corporations. The study identifies three reform-related
growth scenarios: one delivering 8% growth from 2005 onwards,
a middle course of 7%, and one that sees growth slow to
just 5 or 6%. It predicts China will take the middle path,
opting for "solid progress" rather than either
an aggressive restructuring of banks and state-owned enterprises,
or slow, stop-start reforms. It says this approach would
minimize potential social instability, which either rapid
restructuring or slow output and job growth could exacerbate.
(CNN, 27 Nov)
http://www.dfat.gov.au/publications/catalogue/china_embraces_world_market.html
China's export growth rate may
slow by half next year
China's export growth rate may slow by half next year
because the government can't sustain tax breaks that favor
exporters, the State Council Information Center said.
The Chinese government gives exporters tax breaks of as
much as 15%. At least half of this year's applications
for tax breaks can't be processed until 2003, which will
"squeeze out'' new applicants and hurt exports. (Bloomberg,
28 Nov)
China plans policy package to
upgrade vehicle industry
According to the State Development Planning Commission,
a package of long-awaited new policies will include a
program to accelerate the automobile industry's development
and others concerning vehicle consumption, fund management
and financing. The auto industry is expected to play a
leading role among China's industrial sectors to help
China realize its target of quadrupling the level of its
GDP in 2000 by 2020. (China Daily, 29 Nov)
High rate of property vacancies
worries mainland real estate officials
According to the China Property Industry Association,
China's ratio of vacant real estate to occupied property
is 19%, compared with the internationally-recognised warning
line of 10% to 15%. The country has 125 million square
metres of vacant property. (SCMP, 29 Nov)
China fights deflation charges
Responding to suggestions that its cheap exports might
fuel global deflation, China defended its role. Stephen
Roach, chief economist at Morgan Stanley, added to the
debate by suggesting that China had emerged as an important
ingredient of prospective United States deflation. The
chief economist at the National Bureau of Statistics dismissed
the idea that deflation was a factor in China, let alone
threatening the rest of the world. (FEER, 5 Dec)
WTO
China warns US over quotas
on textiles
China has warned the US against imposing new restrictions
on textile imports when the present quotas end in 2005,
saying such measures would undermine Beijing's co-operation
in the new round of global trade talks. The American Textile
Manufacturers Institute filed a petition with the US government
in September asking for new quotas under the special safeguard
provisions in China's WTO accession agreement. The end
of quotas, imposed under the Multi-Fibre Arrangement,
was a major incentive for China to enter the WTO this
year. (FT, 23 Nov)
Finance
Shi kills last revaluation
rumors
China has never considered a revaluation of the Renminbi,
trade Minister Shi Guangsheng said in an interview in
the Financial Times. A week ago Minister of Finance Xiang
Huaicheng said that he "personally feels a lot of
pressure" to give the currency more room to maneuver.
Bankers right away dismissed the speculation the statement
triggered off as nonsense. (Chinabiz, 26 Nov)
Interest in QFII scheme low
A survey by UBS Warburg shows foreign investors have little
interest in the mainland's plan to allow outsiders to
trade domestic A shares. Cited as major concerns were
corporate governance standards, high valuations and accounting
practices. UBS surveyed 26 institutional investors and
found potential foreign investors were worried that the
minimum investment to enter the market was too high and
there would be too much difficulty in repatriating foreign
exchange. Just 11.5% of those surveyed said their interest
was high. China's securities regulators said a number
of overseas institutional investors had expressed interest
in the scheme due to confidence in the prospects for the
mainland economy and stock market. (SCMP, 27 Nov) (see
below)
New rules complicate foreign
investment in SOE's
The State Economic and Trade Commission published new
rules on investing in unlisted State-owned enterprises.
Under new rules the SOE has to apply with the local SETC
for approval of all reorganization projects. It is however
not clear if this means that the SETC approval replaces
the MOFTEC approval that is currently required. It is
clear that SETC stresses protection of SOE's and MOFTEC
focuses more on encouraging foreign investment. These
two goals may be diverging under the new rules. People
close to MOFTEC say officials at the ministry are enraged
by the new SETC-rules, who go directly against the MOFTEC
policy of economic openness. (Chinabiz, 28 Nov)
China issues regulation to govern
foreign investment
China released a detailed regulation on forex issues related
to the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors scheme.
Under the new rule, each qualified foreign investor can
only open one special renminbi account to facilitate securities
trading in China. The investor can apply for an investment
quota that equals something between USD 50 million and
USD 800 million. Risk control is crucial to the programme,
so the Chinese Government has to work out a detailed scheme
to avoid the inflow of international hot money that would
hurt the financial soundness of the country. (China Daily,
29 Nov)
PBOC cracks whip as deposits
battle gets out of control
China's central bank launched a crackdown on banks that
have been competing for customers by offering illegal
inducements to attract deposits. Interest rates on yuan
deposits are fixed by the PBOC. But some banks were disregarding
the government-set benchmark in "blind pursuit"
of building their deposits, the PBOC said. (SCMP, 29 Nov)
Wen Jiabao heads new financial
taskforce
China has set up a top-level taskforce charged with ensuring
the safety and soundness of the mainland's finance sector,
with Wen Jiabao at the helm. The development underscores
the view that financial reforms will be a priority for
Mr Wen, who is expected to succeed Premier Zhu Rongji
in March. China's ability to maintain the safety and soundness
of its financial sector has become a top policy issue
for Beijing. Beijing is aware that incompetent and corrupt
senior financial executives could trigger a financial
implosion. Philip Strause of Deloitte Consulting said:
"The major issues [the top leaders] should be concerned
about are the safety, soundness and performance of the
banking system. That just absolutely has to be the highest
priority. Secondly and more broadly would be the development
of a capital market over time as an alternative to the
heavy reliance on banking as the basic mechanism for allocating
capital." (SCMP, 30 Nov)
Legal
Court awards small investors
victory
Chengdu Intermediate People's Court awarded compensation
to 11 small investors in a battle against a Shanghai-listed
electronic vacuum component maker. The court awarded the
plaintiffs CNY 225'000 in compensation from the company.
The CSRC found the company had fudged its listing prospectus
by reporting a net profit of CNY 54 million for 1996,
when it actually lost CNY 103 million. In January the
Supreme People's Court in Beijing published a regulation
that permits defrauded investors to sue domestically listed
companies for fraudulent corporate disclosure. (Shanghai
Daily, 27 Nov)
China further opens construction
market
According to new regulations issued by the Ministry of
Construction and the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic
Cooperation, overseas investors are allowed to set up
Sino-foreign joint ventures, cooperative businesses and
exclusively foreign-owned enterprises in China in the
construction sector. They are also allowed to invest in
construction project designing. (People's Daily, 30 Nov)
Business
Leading global jeweller eyes
mainland market
The world's third-largest jeweller Bulgari Group is seeking
partners to enter China's luxury goods market and plans
to open stores in major cities next year. Hong Kong's
Bulgari sales to mainlanders showed double-digit growth
in the past 12 months. Asia, including Hong Kong, accounted
for 38% of the group's revenue last year. (SCMP, 25 Nov)
Swiss Watchmaker sees good prospect
for China market
Vacheron Constantin, one of the biggest Swiss watchmaker
has seen a good business prospect in China. The Swiss
watch maker launched a massive four-week exhibition in
six major cities in northern and northeastern China in
August this year. Vacheron Constantin has 19 shops in
China's mainland and a total of 26 shops in Hong Kong
and will gradually expand their business in China. (People's
Daily, 26 Nov)
Customer support - Leica's secret
of success
Leica Geosystems, based in Heerbrugg, Switzerland, is
a globally active surveying and geomatics technology group.
Since its introduction to the Chinese market 50 years
ago, the Swiss company has provided technical solutions
and high-precision instruments for key projects - including
the Three Gorges reservoir construction on the Yangtze
River and the Xiaolangdi water-control project on the
Yellow River. The company's sales in China are worth about
CHF 40 million Swiss Francs (USD 27.8 million), up 30%
annually since 1997. Leica Geosystems has 26 service centres
and seven repair centres in China. The company built an
R&D centre in Shanghai earlier this year. (Business
Weekly, 26 Nov)
BMW cars to be produced in China
The luxury German automobile brand BMW will see some of
its cars made in China soon. Negotiations between Chinese
car-maker Brilliance Auto and BMW are going smoothly,
and the formation of a joint venture is being examined
by Chinese authorities. The joint venture, which will
be set up in Shenyang in northeastern China, will to produce
BMW's 3-series products. (People's Daily, 26 Nov)
IT
China has world's third largest
Internet user base
China had 54.35 million Internet users by the end of September
this year, the third largest number in the world after
the United States and Japan. However, this only represents
4% of China's 1.3 billion population. The country also
has 20.56 million computers connected to the Internet,
and 81'907 www websites. (People's Daily, 28 Nov)
Shanghai
China Putian plans USD 600 million
industrial park in Shanghai
Despite weak demand, China Putian Corporation, the country's
largest telecom equipment vendor, plans to build a CNY
5 billion industrial park in Shanghai in the next five
years. The project is located in the Shanghai Comprehensive
Industrial Development Zone in the city's southwest Fengxian
County. Putian, an industry arm of the former Ministry
of Posts and Telecommunications, is now directly under
the leadership of the central government. (China Daily,
25 Nov)
Pearl River
Hong Kong economy grows 3.3%
on strong exports and tourism
The Hong Kong economy grew by 3.3% in the third quarter
from its year-earlier level, picking up visibly after
turning around to modest growth in the second quarter.
The government revised its measure of year-on-year GDP
growth in the second quarter to 0.8% from 0.5% and the
quarter-on-quarter growth figure for the second quarter
to 0.7% from 0.4%. Those revisions and the strength of
the third-quarter GDP increase led the government to revise
its forecast for full-year growth to 2% from its earlier
forecast of 1.5%. Exports were a key driver in the government's
new optimism over the economy, while the domestic sector
remained weak. (Dow Jones, 29 Nov)
Guangdong to build bridge to
Hainan
Guangdong will invest CNY 50 billion to build a bridge
linking the province with Hainan island. The 30km structure
is part of a national project to build five bridges starting
in Tongjiang, part of northernmost Heilongjiang province,
and ending in the Hainan resort town of Sanya. The cost
of the entire scheme is CNY 570 billion. (SCMP, 30 Nov)
Various
Curbs stop movie, TV industry
An international academic forum on visual arts at Fudan
University in Shanghai has slammed "Sowjet-style"
censorship on movies and TV, preventing it from developing
into a real industry. "It is easier to get a bomb
into China than a movie," said Venice Film Festival
director Moritz de Hadeln. (chinabiz, 24 Nov)
China builds first global standards
database for farm products
China's first database for farm products in accordance
with international standards will be in use soon. The
State Committee for Standardization builds the database
in a bid to facilitate exports of farm products and raise
national awareness of international standards. The database
also lists standards in China's key markets, including
the US, EU and Japan. (People's Daily, 26 Nov)
EU urges China to abandon TD-SCDMA
The European Union urges China should not adopt a home-grown
third-generation mobile standard that breaks up a world
market already dominated by two technologies. China, the
world's largest mobile market, has championed TD-SCDMA,
a wireless service being developed by Datang Mobile and
Siemens of Germany. TD-SCDMA is seen as a possible rival
to popular next-generation standards CDMA2000 and WCDMA.
(SCMP, 27 Nov)
China makes formal the arrest
of Yang Bin
Chinese police formally arrested flower and property magnate
Yang Bin on charges of bribery and fraud. Last year, Forbes
magazine ranked Mr. Yang as China's second-wealthiest
man, with holdings valued at USD 900 million. In another
bizarre twist, Mr. Yang's troubles also have complicated
the reform plans of North Korea, which chose Mr. Yang
to run an ambitious free-trade zone to be set up in the
border city of Sinuiju. (WSJ, 28 Nov)