SARS
Misinformation fuels fear in
Beijing
A lack of consistent or reliable information about SARS
has fanned panic in Beijing, where increasing numbers
of people are donning face masks and speculation is rife
about the spread of the disease. Clinics have reported
a flood of public inquiries, while work units are disinfecting
phones and computer keyboards and giving out preventative
Chinese medicine to staff. A leading factor is suspicion
that many Beijing hospitals have seen SARS patients despite
official government reports of only 22 cases, four deaths
and one recovery. (SCMP, 13 Apr)
Suspected SARS cases left off the official list
Mainland officials admitted that they did not include
all cases or suspected cases of SARS patients in their
official statistics. The Ministry of Health has come under
attack for not revealing the full extent of the disease
in Beijing. Official statistics list 1'290 Sars patients
on the mainland, with 55 deaths. The ministry says there
have been 22 cases and four deaths in the capital. But
according to a retired director of general surgery from
PLA Hospital 301, there have been 146 cases of infections
and 10 deaths in three major PLA hospitals alone in Beijing.
(SCMP, 12 Apr)
S&P: SARS more damaging to Greater China's economy
than Iraq war
Standard and Poor's said the outbreak of SARS in greater
China is proving to be more damaging to economic activity
than the US-led war in Iraq. The ratings agency noted
that following the outbreak of SARS, tourism bookings
in Hong Kong fell 80% year on year, restaurant patronage
was down by more than 50% and retail sales were down by
a similar amount. (AFP, 11 Apr)
Buyers pulling out of Chinese trade fair on SARS fears
Adding to economic losses, uneasy foreign buyers are canceling
plans to attend China's biggest trade fair this month
in its hard-hit south. The Chinese Export Commodities
Fair in the southern city of Guangzhou last year drew
more than 120'000 visitors. Other events in China that
depend on foreign participation have been called off when
too many guests pulled out. But gatherings over which
Beijing has more influence are going ahead as planned.
(AP, 11 Apr)
Buyers weigh options
Microsoft has asked one of its key suppliers for contingency
plans to shift production from the Pearl River Delta to
Mexico, in a development that illustrates overseas buyers'
nervousness about the vulnerability of their global supply
chains to the SARS virus. (SCMP, 10 Apr)
China's slow SARS handling exposes investment risks
China's sluggish response to the outbreak of a deadly
flu-like virus and stonewalling of information shows the
hidden investment risks lurking behind the country's sizzling
growth numbers. Foreign investors infatuated with China,
the world's fastest growing economy and the region's economic
powerhouse, have poured in billions of dollars to take
advantage of the nation's cheap labour. But now many say
China's handling of the disease may give multinational
firms a cause to pause and take a harder look at the risks
of putting all eggs in one basket. (Reuters, 9 April)
Hard to count ultimate toll of SARS
The SARS outbreak triggered a flurry of research reports
by investment banks, all of which featured downward growth
estimates for countries in the region. The economic consequences
of SARS thus far have been limited to the demand side
- mainly reduced economic activity as consumers stay at
home for fear of contracting the illness. The longer the
health crisis persists, the greater impact it will have
on the supply side as production is reduced due to workdays
lost through quarantine, sickness or death. (Dow Jones,
7 Apr)
War in Iraq
Iraq war disturbs tranquil business picture
Domestic petrol prices have remained stable since the
beginning of March, after climbing 55% in February. Experts
acknowledge the war is affecting business in China, but
note the impacts have been limited to large cities frequented
by foreigners. Experts predict post-war Iraq will offer
great business opportunities to Chinese firms. China's
clothing, metal products and household electrical appliances,
in particular, will be in great demand. Some sectors are
profiting from the war. Expensive maritime satellite telephones,
for example, have been selling well in recent days. (Business
Weekly, 8 Apr) The article was obviously written before
SARS was officially admitted.
Economy
Spike in oil prices blamed for a rare trade deficit
China reported its first quarterly trade deficit in seven
years, as the high cost of imported oil overshadowed resurgent
exports. Exports rose more than 33% (to USD86.3 billion)
in the first quarter of 2003 from a year earlier, but
a 52% (to USD87.3 billion) leap in imports led to a trade
deficit of more than USD1 billion. Higher oil prices stemming
from uncertainty over Iraq forced the dollar value of
imports higher in the first quarter of this year for China,
the world's third-biggest crude oil consumer. China, which
buys a third of its oil abroad, imported nearly 15 million
tonnes in the first two months, a rise of 62% from a year
ago. China has also seen a flood of other imports, as
the WTO impact seems to become more apparent. Following
the strong trade figures and robust industrial output,
mainland economists have forecast the GDP to grow between
9 to 10% year on year - the highest quarterly growth since
1997. (SCMP, 12 Apr) A Dow Jones survey showed GDP
expectations centering on a rise of 8.2%, up slightly
from the 4thQ quarter's 8.1%. Official figures for the
1stQ will be announced on 17 April.
China encourages domestic firms to invest overseas
China's overseas direct investment registered USD2.3 billion
last year. China had set up 6'960 enterprises overseas
with a total investment of USD13.7 billion by the end
of 2002, of which USD9.3 billion was invested by Chinese
side. The total business volume of China's overseas project
contracting and labour co-operation projects reached USD144.2
billion, with 2.73 million Chinese working overseas in
various service export projects, up 432'000 compared with
the figure at the end of 1989. China has invested in about
160 countries and regions in areas ranging from trade,
shipping and catering to manufacturing, processing, mining,
project contracting, agricultural co-operation and research
and development. The government has already mapped out
a plan to aid the establishment of hundreds of multinational
enterprises operating with different scales. The goal
is for 50 Chinese enterprises to be among the top 500
of the world by 2015. (People's Daily, 11 April)
IMF upbeat about China's economic growth
The International Monetary Fund confirmed its view that
China will continue to grow strongly in the coming years.
IMF chief economist Kenneth Rogoff said China is growing
very strongly and will achieve an annual growth rate of
7.5% in both 2003 and 2004. In its latest World Economic
Outlook, the IMF said China's real GDP grew by 8% in 2002.
(People's Daily, 10 Apr)
China's industrial output rises 17.2% in first quarter
China's industrial output rose 17.2% to CNY834.3 billion
in the first three months of 2003. The growth rate was
6.3% percentage points higher than the same period last
year. Six major industries including telecommunications,
computers, electronics and transportation equipment led
the fast rise in industrial output. Car production rose
a year-on-year 120% to 399'000, while output of all types
of vehicles rose 54% to 1.05 million. Industrial output
is an important indicator of China's economic development
as it contributes about 60% to GDP. (China Daily, 10 Apr)
China to inject CNY130 billion for West development in
2003
China will put in CNY130 billion to start 14 new projects
in the western regions during the year 2003. It is estimated
that by the end of the year there would be 50 newly started
key projects under construction, with a total investment
over CNY700 billion. (People's Daily, 8 Apr)
Finance
China insurance records losses
China's insurance sector recorded a 21.3% loss on fund
investment in 2002, against a 20% return a year earlier.
The loss on fund investment reduced the average capital
return of the insurance sector to 3.14% for 2002, from
4.3% in 2001, despite a 44.3% year-on-year increase in
premium revenues last year. (FT, 8 Apr)
WTO
China revises Foreign Trade Law
A draft to amend laws pertaining to foreign trade seeks
to offer domestic enterprises more avenues of redress
to resolve disputes involving foreign trade barriers.
Under the new law, Chinese enterprises will be able to
conduct investigations, turn to arbitration and even resort
to the WTO to solve trade barrier or discrimination cases
which go against WTO principles. Once ratified, the draft
will also further reform the legal system to meet China's
commitments to the WTO while striking a better balance
between compliance to the WTO's rules and the needs of
domestic enterprises. (China Daily, 8 Apr) A better
balance?
Legal
Three provinces move to curb protectionism
Provincial governments in the Yangtze River Delta are
striving to curb regional protectionism and facilitate
mutual cooperation in investment, trade and business.
According to a memorandum of cooperation, Zhejiang and
Jiangsu Province and Shanghai will give equal access to
investment from the two other areas. (People's Daily,
11 April)
Audits discover illegal accounts in China banks
The Construction Bank and the Agricultural Bank of China
were the two targets of nationwide audits the National
Audit Bureau carried out last year. The bureau investigated
20 branches and units of Construction Bank and found 88
illegal accounts with CNY101.78 million. At the Agricultural
Bank the bureau found illegal accounts totalling CNY87
million. They also discovered 51 economic crimes, involving
74 people and CNY2.27 billion, with the problem especially
serious in CCB branches in one provincial capital. (SCMP,
7 Apr)
Business
Toyota and FAW to build new China car plant
Toyota has signed a deal to expand its alliance with First
Automotive Works, including the construction of a new
plant Tianjin to produce cars based on a Toyota luxury
model from 2005, with output targeted initially at 50'000
vehicles a year. Toyota, in a bid to muscle its way into
one of the world's fastest growing markets, formed a broad
alliance last August with FAW to make 300'000 to 400'000
luxury sedans, compacts and sport utility vehicles annually
in China by 2010. (Reuters, 10 Apr)
Chinese manufacturers build plane parts for Airbus
Until now, Airbus Industrie has subcontracted over USD500
million worth of airplane parts production to Chinese
manufacturers, and one fourth of the 3'000-strong Airbus
passenger jet fleet worldwide has Chinese-made parts and
components. (ChinaOnline, 9 Apr)
Swiss ice cream maker ready for hot market fight
Swiss food giant Nestle plans to speed up investment in
its Chinese ice cream operations in an effort to outdistance
its rivals. "Our investment this year will be much
bigger than last year, and we believe we will find a territory
in China's market," said Ken Donaldson, head of Nestle's
ice cream business in China. "The increasing GDP
in China provides a positive environment for development
of the ice cream market," he said. There is huge
growth potential in China's market, as Chinese people's
per capita ice cream consumption is at a very low level,
he said. Currently, per capita ice cream consumption in
China is less than 1 litre a year, compared with nearly
23 litres in the United States, Donaldson said. Nestle
began its ice cream business in China in 1992. It now
has four ice cream factories - in Tianjin, Shanghai, Guangzhou
and Hong Kong. There are around 4'000 ice cream companies
in China. (Business Weekly, 8 Apr)
Roche aims to expand sales in Chinese market
Roche, one of the world's leading pharmaceutical companies,
has announced that it aims to raise the ratio of its Chinese
sales as a percentage of its global sales from the current
1% to between 3% and 5% in five years. Although Chinese
sales account for 25% of its Asian sales, (excluding Japan),
last year's Chinese sales, totaling USD319 million, accounted
for only 1% of Roche's global sales, and Chinese sales
are expected to rise as Chinese spend more money on health,
according to Zhou Pingshan, the newly-appointed general
manager of Shanghai Roche Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Since 1994,
Roche has set up three enterprises with its own capital
and three joint ventures, a total investment of USD236
million. "In the nine years since entering the Chinese
market, Roche has maintained remarkable growth, and annual
sales have grown at double-digit rates for several consecutive
years," Zhou said. (People's Daily, 7 Apr)
Energy
Nuclear energy to take 3% of China's total by 2005
China is to cut its reliance on fossil fuels by increasing
the energy output of its nuclear power plants. Atomic
energy officials set a goal of 3% of the total national
power output coming from nuclear plants by 2005. China's
nuclear power plants are expected to reach 8.7 million
kilowatts in two years, when four new generating units
will be put into operation, joining the current seven
sets. (People's Daily, 10 Apr)
Beijing
Overseas investment in Tianjin surges in first quarter
Tianjin used USD368 million of overseas investment in
the first three months of 2003, up 55% from last year.
The city approved 230 overseas-invested enterprises during
the period - 175 of them wholly foreign owned -, with
total contracted investment reaching USD934 million, a
rise of 143% year on year. The service sector in the city
absorbed 45% of the overall overseas investment, becoming
the major field luring overseas investment. (People's
Daily, 13 Apr)
Shanghai
Shanghai's economy up 11.8% 1st Q
Shanghai's economy grew at an annual 11.8% in the first
quarter, faster than at any time last year, thanks to
strong exports and foreign investment. Exports surged
34% to USD9.1 billion and contracted foreign investment
rose 59.2% to USD3.4 billion. (FEER, 17 Apr)
Shanghai issues regulation on delayed salary payments
Shanghai has issued a regulation prohibiting companies
from withholding or delaying payment of their employees'
salaries. The regulation stipulates that a delay of more
than one month without prior permission from employees
is illegal. Employers found guilty of delayed payment
of salaries will be required to pay the wages due in full
plus 25% of the delayed salary payment. Tens of thousands
of employees across China had their salaries withheld
this year, mostly migrant workers from rural China. As
a result, the Chinese central government has moved to
crack down on this illegal practice. (People's Daily,
12 April) The central government may want to make sure
that migrant workers are able to read and understand what
they sign when they give permission to delay their salary
payment. And why does only Shanghai need such regulation?
BoC eases loan restrictions on private sector
The Bank of Communications has lifted restrictions on
loans to private enterprises in Shanghai. Self-employed
business people or the owners of private companies, for
the first time during the past five decades in Shanghai,
will be eligible for loans of up to five CNY5 million
as floating capital. State-owned banks, which dominate
the financial market in China, used to shun private enterprises
when granting loans, but things are changing as the political
status of the private sector has improved. (People's Daily,
11 Apr)
Various
China plans new rail to shorten north-south travel
A new trunk rail line from Beijing to Guangdong Province
could make history in Chinese railway by cutting the travel
time by more than half. The new link is expected to run
a distance of more than 2'000 kilometres long at a speed
of 200 kilometres per hour, double that of the old one.
The new railway will be devoted to passenger transportation,
while the existing link from Beijing to Guangzhou will
continue to be used for the movement of cargo as well.
(China Daily, 8 Apr)
Domestic media publishes list of richest Chinese people
The April issue of Guangdong-based "New Fortune"
published the nation's first ranking list of richest Chinese
people. Rong Zhijian of CITIC Pacific Limited toped the
list to become the richest Chinese with a fortune of CNY6.11
billion. The average fortune for the top 400 is CNY760
million. The list shows that China's rich are mainly from
real estate industry and traditional manufacturing industries.
(People's Daily, 7 Apr)
Markets
China shares end higher; blue chips rise on QFII hopes
China shares closed higher Friday, with the benchmark
Shanghai Composite Index hitting a six-month high as institutional
investors bought up blue chips. Institutional investors
are actively buying blue chips, which they believe will
be the targets of qualified foreign institutional investors,
said an analyst. (Dow Jones, 11 Apr) What virus? A war?